Western North Pacific: 2nd tropical cyclone formation alert(TCFA) issued for Invest 94W, 13/0330utc

13/04/2021

INVEST 94W. 13/03UTC. 3H LOOP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION PARTIALLY OBSCURING A LOW LEVEL CIRUCLATION CENTER. A 122137 SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICTS MINOR LOWER LEVEL BANDING AND DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST), DUAL- CHANNEL UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.

2021 APR 13 0345UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC
INVEST #94W 
TCFA RE-ISSUED(2nd)
As of 00:00 UTC Apr 13, 2021:
Location: 7.3°N 138.5°E
Maximum Winds: 18/23 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 mb
LOCATED AT 13/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 250KM SOUTH OF YAP. MOVING WESTWARD AT 22 KM/H.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS:  HIGH
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

13/0330UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA).SYSTEM'S INTENSITY IS LIKELY TO REACH 25KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 24H.
13/0330UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA).SYSTEM'S INTENSITY IS LIKELY TO REACH 25KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 24H.

INVEST 94W. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT  INVEST 94W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD, CONSOLIDATE AND  STRENGTHEN FOR THE NEXT 48-96 HOURS. MODEL ENSEMBLE: ECMWF
INVEST 94W. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD, CONSOLIDATE AND STRENGTHEN FOR THE NEXT 48-96 HOURS. MODEL ENSEMBLE: ECMWF

INVEST 94W. MODEL ENSEMBLE: GFS.
INVEST 94W. MODEL ENSEMBLE: GFS.

INVEST 94W. 13/03UTC.
INVEST 94W. 13/03UTC.

13/03UTC. INVEST 94W REMAINS HIGH FOR THE NEXT 24H. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED ON THE SYSTEM BY THE JTWC.
13/03UTC. INVEST 94W REMAINS HIGH FOR THE NEXT 24H. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED ON THE SYSTEM BY THE JTWC.