Western North Pacific: tropical cyclone formation alert(TCFA) issued for Invest 94W, 12/1130utc

12/04/2021

INVEST 94W. 12/11UTC. 9H LOOP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 120858Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL FLARING, DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE ASSESSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NECESSARY.

2021 APR 12 1130UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC
INVEST #94W 
TCFA
As of 06:00 UTC Apr 12, 2021:
Location: 5.9°N 146.5°E
Maximum Winds: 18/23 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 mb
LOCATED AT 12/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 900KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS:  UP-GRADED TO HIGH
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

04/1130UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA). INVEST 94W IS  IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST  WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND  SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
04/1130UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA). INVEST 94W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.

INVEST 94W. GLOBAL MODELS ARE  IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94W WILL STEADILY INTENSIFY AS IT  TRACKS TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
INVEST 94W. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94W WILL STEADILY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

INVEST 94W. 12/12UTC.
INVEST 94W. 12/12UTC.


Western North Pacific: tropical cyclone formation alert(TCFA) issued for Invest 94W, 12/1130utc